November 03, 2004
What Do I (Maybe) Win?

My predictions below mostly turned out wildly off the mark, but the one section where I just threw out numbers without checking any polls at all is quite close: question 8, how well each candidate would do in his home state. If you're too lazy to scroll down, I guessed 61.1% and 71.3% for the Bush-Cheney vote in Texas and Wyoming, 62.2% and 43.1% for Kerry-Edwards in Massachusetts and North Carolina. I was two points (or 2.3) off on Wyoming, but otherwise spot on, as far as I can tell, since the various networks report the numbers as 61%, 69%, 62%, and 43%. It would be nice if they would give tenths of a percent. Unfortunately, I haven't found a website yet that doesn't round off to integers, and I can't calculate the tenths myself, because the totals at (e.g.) CNN's site do not give any totals for the really minor -- 5th, 6th, 7th, and 8th party -- candidates or for voters who left the top slot blank. Will final results, with tenths, be in tomorrow's dead-tree WP or NYT? I'm on tenterhooks, waiting to see if someone else came even closer . . . also wondering what the prize is if I win, since Steyn has taken down the contest announcement now that it's too late to join. (Hope he doesn't substitute cheaper prizes!)

Posted by Dr. Weevil at November 03, 2004 07:15 PM